QAFL Preliminary Final Match Preview

Submitted by Chris Yeend. 

Aspley v Redland Victoria Point

Meetings this year
Round 8 – RVP
RVP 7.7.49 defeated Aspley 7.5.47
Round 19 – Aspley
Aspley 13.12.90 defeated RVP 10.15.75


Highest score – 25.17.167  v Sherwood – (Rd 21)
Lowest score – 7.5.47 v RVP (Rd 8)
Highest winning margin – 131 v Sherwood (Rd 21)
Biggest losing margin – 28 v Broadbeach (Rd10)
65, 120, 91, 4, 86, 135, 20, 8, 40, 109, 38, 44, 15, 131 = (14)
906 points (65 ave.)
100 points or more in a game = 9
Games won v the final top 6 =  4
Top 5 Goals
78 – Connor Stackleberg
27 – Will Peppin
23 – Nick Dodge
22 – Pat McCarthy
12 – Ryan Banks-Smith

Highest score – 28.11.179 v Surfers Paradise (Rd 12)
Lowest score – 6.10.46 v Labrador (Rd 9)
Highest winning margin – 138 v Surfers Paradise (Rd 12)
Biggest losing margin – 31 v Labrador (Rd 18)
102, 116, 82, 26, 12, 2, 1, 41, 56, 138, 19, 26, 63, 16, 14, 1 = (16)
702 (44 ave.)
100 points or more in a game = 6
Games won v the final top 6 = 6
Top 5 Goals
90 – Matt Hammelmann
22 – Jarrod Huddy
21 – Josh Brown
19 – Caleb Franks
16 – Matt Warren 

Last week
Aspley – after a slow start, the Hornets turned a four-point deficit at quarter-time into a nine-point half-time lead on the back of six goals in the second term against Broadbeach. The tables were turned in the third term with their opponents kicking seven goals to one to lead by 27-points. The Cats held on, holding the Hornets to just one goal in the final term to win by 25-points. It was a challenging loss for the Hornets that couldn’t make the run in the final term like it had in the second term. Tom Watson kicked four goals.

Redland-Victoria Point – after bursting out of the blocks with a goal in the opening minute of the game, RVP led by 36-points late in time on of the first quarter, with Hammelmann kicking three goals in the blitz against Palm Beach Currumbin. Without Jack Rolls in the team, the midfield toiled hard with Brock Aston and Caleb Franks winning lots of the ball. PBC leveled the scores late in the game before a Hammelmann shot after the siren that registered a point, being the difference maker in getting the team into week 3 of the finals.

Where will this game be won?
Both teams are known for being heavy scorers and quite attacking. The defense will be the key with Liam Dawson for the Hornets at one end and Adrian Williams for the Sharks at the other. The two best forwards in the game have the chance to go in a shoot out but with the quality of defenders around them, it’s going to be tough for Stackleberg and Hammelmann to win lots of the ball inside their respective attacking 50. Saying that, both players are capable of kicking goals from outside 50.

The midfields of both teams possess great place, flair and strength and should cancel each other out for influence.

Who wins the game for both sides
Aspley – Will Wolbers is the best ruckman in the competition and he will clean up on the hit-outs in a major way across the ground. His team mates will respond off his tap work.
RVP – Matt Hammelmann did the job last week to win the game for his team and there is no reason he can’t do it again.

Who wins this  game and why
The two most attacking teams in the competition will go head-to-head and the pair have split wins this season. It’s challenging because on the rare occasions Aspley falls behind, it does struggle to claw back in and win the game, and win well.

Redland-Victoria Point is the best team to watch when the adrenaline is flowing and everything is going right; but when it slows down, it easily drops away. Last week was a clear example of a red-hot start but for the next three quarters, PBC looked a lot better, not just on the scoreboard but in general play.

Aspley is the most consistent team of the two across four quarters because the difference between its best and worst across the match is close. RVP can just go missing as a team and it can ill-afford to do that come 2.10pm.

Aspley by 24 points.  

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